Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Thu Aug 24, 2023 8:36 am  

Jemmo wrote:

The quote button was broke yesterday, but seems fixed now.

I think the RFL will give the points to Rochdale but it;s not as straight forward as our game with West Wales. If I were London I would be saying "we were available and could field a team when the game was originally supposed to be played but Rochdale called it off"

Thanks for the info on the quote button, Jemmo.

Was the original game called off because of a waterlogged pitch?

In the great scheme of things, the RFL decision won't be critical as it looks like N Wales will get the last play-off place anyway when they beat London on Sunday.

[Jemmo]

Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Thu Aug 24, 2023 8:40 am  

Yes it was waterlogged, I agree it won't really make a difference which makes it easier

Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Thu Aug 24, 2023 9:01 am  

Jemmo wrote:

Yes it was waterlogged, I agree it won't really make a difference which makes it easier

If given the points, London could say they didn't go through a whole season without win though!

London really seem to be going backwards, don't they? I do fear somewhat for their future.

[Jemmo]

Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Thu Aug 24, 2023 11:51 am  

The points have been awarded to Rochdale.

Yes London have been a huge disappointment. Years of building has collapsed. I don't think it does any favours to them that Broncos have got worse. There will be players that Skolars were getting before that will now be on Broncos radar, that wouldn't have been if they were in Super League

[Wanderer]

Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Thu Aug 24, 2023 12:28 pm  

I don't think it's a coincidence that they've gone backwards since 'Hector' McNeil left shortly followed by Jermaine Coleman.

[Jemmo]

Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Thu Aug 24, 2023 12:53 pm  

Oh I don't think I knew McNeil left. He was definitely a driving force behind them for a while

Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Thu Aug 24, 2023 8:20 pm  

Here's a brief summary of how things stand after the Oldham v Workington midweek game:

If we beat Dewsbury, we can't finish lower than third. We could be second if Hunslet lose to Workington and we overturn the 60 points points difference disadvantage. Workington now have nothing to play for. They will finish fifth regardless of their result against Hunslet on Sunday.

If we draw or lose to Dewsbury, we will finish fourth if Oldham beat Midlands. A Dons draw would be insufficient to stay ahead of Oldham. A draw would mean we were level on points with Oldham (if they win) but they have the better points difference.

If Oldham draw or lose to Midlands, they will be fourth regardless of our result.

Our chances of finishing third have declined slightly with Oldham beating Workington on Wednesday. Originally my guesses were Dons second: 2%, Dons third: 51%: Dons fourth 47%.

I reckon we've got a 40% chance of beating Dewsbury. This would probably equate to bookies' odds of 5/4 or 11/8 as they would have an over-round book in their favour. Oldham must be classed as a 33/1 chance to slip up against Midlands. Combining the two, I'm thinking our chance of finishing third is 44%, with fourth place now the favourite at 54%. Our chances of finishing second haven't altered.

Where's ya money?

[Jemmo]

Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Fri Aug 25, 2023 8:28 am  

I noticed Sky offering odds of promotion for our division. Hunslet and ourselves were joint favourites at 6/5/ Oldham were 8/1 which seemed very generous to me considering they can still finish above us and it's knock out games

Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Fri Aug 25, 2023 8:37 am  

Jemmo wrote:

I noticed Sky offering odds of promotion for our division. Hunslet and ourselves were joint favourites at 6/5/ Oldham were 8/1 which seemed very generous to me considering they can still finish above us and it's knock out games

Crikey, that's a surprise. 8/1 for Oldham seems well over-priced. I'd have though the true odds for promotion were something like:

Hunslet 6/4 (40%), Dons 7/4 (36%), Oldham 3/1 (25%).

[Jemmo]

Re: Dons v Dewsbury Sunday 27th August 2023 : Fri Aug 25, 2023 9:26 am  

It's now gone down to 6/5 for Dons and Hunset and 6/1 for Oldham