FORUMS FORUMS






RLFANS.COM
Celebrating
25 years service to
the Rugby League
Community!

   WWW.RLFANS.COM • View topic - Doncaster v Hunslet Sunday 19/09/2021 4pm kick off
RankPostsTeam
Club Owner8018No
Team
Selected
JoinedServiceReputation
May 16 200321 years274th
OnlineLast PostLast Page
27th Mar 24 21:1417th Mar 24 19:12LINK
Milestone Posts
5000
10000
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530

Elimination Play Off Sunday 19/9/2021 4pm kick off. see www.doncasterrrugbyleague.co.uk
Elimination Play Off Sunday 19/9/2021 4pm kick off. see www.doncasterrrugbyleague.co.uk
User avatar
RankPostsTeam
Player Coach4036
JoinedServiceReputation
Nov 03 200518 years270th
OnlineLast PostLast Page
27th Mar 24 19:1820th Mar 24 14:44LINK
Milestone Posts
2500
5000
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530
Location
Within earshot of the XH558

4pm, but I've just got used to negotiating the hot food trailers and the seagulls. :lol:

Seriously, a fascinating game in prospect. Now that we know that they caught us with our Covid pants down in the League game at the Keepmoat, when we had to beg borrow players to make up a game day squad, we owe them one IMO. Not sure how seriously Workington took their game at the weekend but the score was impressive on Hunslets behalf. Should be a cracker.

Reading the Worky site on TRL it appears that they (Worky) got rolled over in the middles and a penalty count of 9-2 against them.
RankPostsTeam
Club Captain349
JoinedServiceReputation
Sep 11 20177 years286th
OnlineLast PostLast Page
31st Jan 24 06:4729th Jan 24 07:52LINK
Milestone Posts
250
500
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530

Workington in my opinion are the weakest team in the play offs , having played two /three games less than everyone else in the division.

If the little flag waving weasel had not had such an influence on Sundays game I would have placed us in the box seat for the second promotion spot .

Hunslet will be tough but with a few players back I'm sure we can turn them over and progress to the next round.

If we get through Sunday North Wales away would suit our style of play, as the pitch looks very much like the Keepmoat, good for expansive rugby, however an away trip to Keighley ,after the performance Sunday should hold no fear for us either.
User avatar
RankPostsTeam
International Star3426
JoinedServiceReputation
Aug 06 201113 years198th
OnlineLast PostLast Page
27th Mar 24 22:5019th Mar 24 09:13LINK
Milestone Posts
2500
5000
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530
Location
In the heart of Doncaster

This will definitely be our last home game of the season. Only Workington, N Wales or Keighley can be at home in the final.

Week One: Hunslet (H)

Week Two: Away to loser of N Wales v Keighley

Week Three: Away to either N Wales, Keighley or Workington (depending on the results of their matches; we can't play the same team twice)

Week Four: Away to either N Wales, Keighley or Workington

Basically, we've got to win away against all of the teams who finished above us in the table to win the play-offs.

The play-off system as it stands is quite a good way of giving those who finish higher up the league the best chance but it's a bit of a swine to work out what's what. I had to smile at last Sunday's game against Keighley when the announcer said at half time that we would definitely be at home this weekend. That was incorrect. Had we drawn against Keighley, we would have finished fourth and been away to N Wales this weekend.
User avatar
RankPostsTeam
Player Coach4036
JoinedServiceReputation
Nov 03 200518 years270th
OnlineLast PostLast Page
27th Mar 24 19:1820th Mar 24 14:44LINK
Milestone Posts
2500
5000
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530
Location
Within earshot of the XH558

Double Movement wrote:
This will definitely be our last home game of the season. Only Workington, N Wales or Keighley can be at home in the final.

Week One: Hunslet (H)

Week Two: Away to loser of N Wales v Keighley

Week Three: Away to either N Wales, Keighley or Workington (depending on the results of their matches; we can't play the same team twice)

Week Four: Away to either N Wales, Keighley or Workington

Basically, we've got to win away against all of the teams who finished above us in the table to win the play-offs.

The play-off system as it stands is quite a good way of giving those who finish higher up the league the best chance but it's a bit of a swine to work out what's what. I had to smile at last Sunday's game against Keighley when the announcer said at half time that we would definitely be at home this weekend. That was incorrect. Had we drawn against Keighley, we would have finished fourth and been away to N Wales this weekend.


Given what we achieved away from home during the pitch repair period, we are not without hope. :)
User avatar
RankPostsTeam
International Star3426
JoinedServiceReputation
Aug 06 201113 years198th
OnlineLast PostLast Page
27th Mar 24 22:5019th Mar 24 09:13LINK
Milestone Posts
2500
5000
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530
Location
In the heart of Doncaster

I knew there'd eventually be some advantage to playing all of these away games together during the pitch repair period, Wilf. It's all been part of a strategic plan to win the play-offs! :lol:

On our day, we can beat anyone home or away, so there are definitely reasons to be positive.
User avatar
RankPostsTeam
Club Coach18609No
Team
Selected
JoinedServiceReputation
Feb 18 200618 years281st
OnlineLast PostLast Page
18th Mar 24 11:2311th Feb 24 18:03LINK
Milestone Posts
15000
20000
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530
Location
Somewhere in Bonny Donny (Twinned with Krakatoa in 1883).
Signature
War does not determine who is right - only who is left.

Thank God I'm an atheist.

:lol: Deja vu anyone?
There is little chance of getting promotion via this arrangement of fixtures....
Firstly we will be in a war with Hunslet, the victor of which will be plum tuckered out...and so it would continue compounding injuries and fatigue.
Plus if we don't have Beryl or Johnston we will be a bit lacking ideas-wise.
However these are like cup games and we just have to win ugly so it is possible.
If we beat Hunslet who are in great form, with Brambani back, then we will be in with a shout
I don't think we will though and having said that the Dons should do...
Cos I know nothing. :BEAT:
User avatar
RankPostsTeam
Player Coach4036
JoinedServiceReputation
Nov 03 200518 years270th
OnlineLast PostLast Page
27th Mar 24 19:1820th Mar 24 14:44LINK
Milestone Posts
2500
5000
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530
Location
Within earshot of the XH558

SO, Beryl is in the 21 named squad. Just hope he can play some part.
Last edited by Wilf Grimshaw on Sat Sep 18, 2021 11:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
RankPostsTeam
International Star3426
JoinedServiceReputation
Aug 06 201113 years198th
OnlineLast PostLast Page
27th Mar 24 22:5019th Mar 24 09:13LINK
Milestone Posts
2500
5000
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530
Location
In the heart of Doncaster

Realistically, what are our chances? Assuming all teams involved in the play-offs are of the same standard, with home advantage probably counting for four to six points, home teams should be slight favourites in every game.

On that basis, the home team's odds should be near to 10/11 with the away team's odds at 11/10. In effect this means each home team has a 52.4% chance of winning with the away side having a 47.6% chance.

On this calculation, the Dons will have a 52.4% chance of winning against Hunslet.


The chances of us winning in week two as well as week one would be 25%. (1.91 (Hunslet odds) times 2.10 (Week 2 odds) = 4.011) 100 divided by 4.011 = 24.93%.

Getting through the third week is 12%. (1.91 (Hunslet odds) times 2.10 (Week 2 odds) times 2.10 (Week 3 odds) = 8.42) 100 divided by 8.42 = 11.87%

Winning the final in week four is 5.65% (1.91 times 2.10 times 2.10 times 2.10 = 17.69. 100 divided by 17.69 = 5.65%

So, the calculation based on all teams being of equal standing means the odds of the Dons winning the play-offs is 16.7 to 1.

This may slightly overstate our chances as Workington will have a 'rest weekend' and could be fresher than everyone else, increasing their chances slightly and decreasing everyone else's
RankPostsTeam
Club Captain703No
Team
Selected
JoinedServiceReputation
May 18 20186 years293rd
OnlineLast PostLast Page
6th Dec 21 19:435th Dec 21 16:06LINK
Milestone Posts
500
1000
Milestone Years
0510 1520 2530

If all 3 named halves are fully fit it's Cockayne and Beharrell starting. Sweeting on the bench. Experience means everything in play offs
Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Kick and chase and 136 guests

REPLY

Subject: 
Message:
   
Please note using apple style emoji's can result in posting failures.
Use the FULL EDITOR to better format content or upload images, be notified of replies etc...

Return to Doncaster RLFC


RLFANS Recent Posts
FORUM
LAST
POST
TOPIC
POSTER
POSTS
13m
Game - Song Titles
Boss Hog
34245
14m
BORED The Band Name Game
Boss Hog
55959
16m
Transfer Talk / Rumour thread V4
Emagdnim13
8702
45m
The Bulls away
Listenup94
6
55m
Fevround 2
upthetrin92
82
Recent
The official Leon Hayes Thread
Snaggletooth
9
Recent
Huddersfield - Home
BigTime
5
Recent
Challenge Cup
Captain Hook
34
Recent
The Good Friday Derby Massacre
Dave K.
115
FORUM
LAST
VIEW
TOPIC
POSTER
POSTS
35s
Saints a
Itchy Arsena
12
36s
Transfer Talk / Rumour thread V4
Emagdnim13
8702
47s
London Away
Fartown58
1
53s
Challenge Cup
Captain Hook
34
1m
Other Championship Clubs
Trojan Horse
97
1m
The official Leon Hayes Thread
Snaggletooth
9
1m
Wigan v Sts discussion - THIS THREAD ONLY PLEASE
Zig
1933
1m
Championship TV deal
Trojan Horse
18
1m
Wardle
Jo Jumbuck
3
1m
Shopping list for 2025
Tarquin Fueg
405
FORUM
NEW
TOPICS
TOPIC
POSTER
POSTS
TODAY
The Wigan Way - New Podcast - Chairman Special
Jukesays
1
TODAY
Dons v Swinton Lions 30 June 2024
Wanderer
1
TODAY
Squad for Sheffield
AdamH
1
TODAY
London Away
Fartown58
1
TODAY
The Bulls away
Listenup94
6
TODAY
The official Leon Hayes Thread
Snaggletooth
9
TODAY
Saints a
Itchy Arsena
12
TODAY
Leon Ruan signs on loan
Jemmo
2
TODAY
Wardle
Jo Jumbuck
3
TODAY
Huddersfield - Home
BigTime
5
TODAY
Max Wood on loan to Bradford 2 weeks
rubber ducki
7
TODAY
Jake Wardle 5 Year deal
Zig
22
TODAY
No grade A for 2025 for Trinity
imwakefieldt
19
TODAY
Cup Quarter Final TV Arrangements
RLFANS News
1
TODAY
Rd 6 I Cas A
batleyrhino
20
TODAY
WIRE YED Prediction Competition Catalans Home
Bobby Digita
10
TODAY
Spare Tickets Friday
Azul
3
TODAY
RL Podcast
AgbriggAmble
1
TODAY
Challenge Cup
Captain Hook
34
TODAY
2024 Challenge Cup Quarter Final Draw
RLFANS News
1
NEWS ITEMS
VIEWS
Cup Quarter Final TV Arrangeme..
470
2024 Challenge Cup Quarter Fin..
582
Easy Does It For The Dragons A..
515
Warrington Demolish London For..
637
Leigh Leopards Beat Plucky Fea..
687
Saints Triumph Over Disappoint..
660
Easy Win for the Wolves Over L..
911
Dragons Condemn Castleford To ..
893
Leigh Leopards Secure First Po..
1041
St Helens Tame The Rhinos To W..
1009
Wigan Warriors Come From Behin..
1065
Betfred Championship and Leagu..
1052
2024 Challenge Cup Sixth Round..
3826
Featherstone Win Extra Time Cu..
1176
Dragons Triumph Over Hull FC t..
1057
RLFANS Match Centre
Matches on TV
Table 'boards.stats_fixtures' doesn't exist