Salford end Hull play-off hopes? Is this right? : Thu Sep 24, 2020 7:46 pm  

According to the BBC, Salford's win ends Hull's play off hopes? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-league/54235472 Am i being stupid and missing something obvious, or can someone explain this? Hulls win ratio is 5/12 = 41.6% Those in the play offs 8/11 = 72% BUT...if Hull won their remaining games they would move to 65% - those in the top 4 would still need 5 more wins to achieve that. So if Wigan / Wire Catalans etc were to lose 5/9 of their final games - which is perfectly feasible - They'd end up on 60%. Hull could, theoretically at least, still finish top!!! Is there some magic formula or determination because of who plays who, or anyone who can explain this? As far as i see it, its now much more unlikely but Hull can still (without too much of a miracle), reach 4th!!

According to the BBC, Salford's win ends Hull's play off hopes? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-league/54235472 Am i being stupid and missing something obvious, or can someone explain this? Hulls win ratio is 5/12 = 41.6% Those in the play offs 8/11 = 72% BUT...if Hull won their remaining games they would move to 65% - those in the top 4 would still need 5 more wins to achieve that. So if Wigan / Wire Catalans etc were to lose 5/9 of their final games - which is perfectly feasible - They'd end up on 60%. Hull could, theoretically at least, still finish top!!! Is there some magic formula or determination because of who plays who, or anyone who can explain this? As far as i see it, its now much more unlikely but Hull can still (without too much of a miracle), reach 4th!!

Re: Salford end Hull play-off hopes? Is this right? : Thu Sep 24, 2020 7:52 pm  

afootingmiracle21-12 wrote: According to the BBC, Salford's win ends Hull's play off hopes? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-league/54235472 Am i being stupid and missing something obvious, or can someone explain this? Hulls win ratio is 5/12 = 41.6% Those in the play offs 8/11 = 72% BUT...if Hull won their remaining games they would move to 65% - those in the top 4 would still need 5 more wins to achieve that. So if Wigan / Wire Catalans etc were to lose 5/9 of their final games - which is perfectly feasible - They'd end up on 60%. Hull could, theoretically at least, still finish top!!! Is there some magic formula or determination because of who plays who, or anyone who can explain this? As far as i see it, its now much more unlikely but Hull can still (without too much of a miracle), reach 4th!! I think I've spotted the fundamental flaw in your argument.

afootingmiracle21-12 wrote: According to the BBC, Salford's win ends Hull's play off hopes? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-league/54235472 Am i being stupid and missing something obvious, or can someone explain this? Hulls win ratio is 5/12 = 41.6% Those in the play offs 8/11 = 72% BUT...if Hull won their remaining games they would move to 65% - those in the top 4 would still need 5 more wins to achieve that. So if Wigan / Wire Catalans etc were to lose 5/9 of their final games - which is perfectly feasible - They'd end up on 60%. Hull could, theoretically at least, still finish top!!! Is there some magic formula or determination because of who plays who, or anyone who can explain this? As far as i see it, its now much more unlikely but Hull can still (without too much of a miracle), reach 4th!! I think I've spotted the fundamental flaw in your argument.

Re: Salford end Hull play-off hopes? Is this right? : Fri Sep 25, 2020 9:04 am  

afootingmiracle21-12 wrote: According to the BBC, Salford's win ends Hull's play off hopes? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-league/54235472 Am i being stupid and missing something obvious, or can someone explain this? Hulls win ratio is 5/12 = 41.6% Those in the play offs 8/11 = 72% BUT...if Hull won their remaining games they would move to 65% - those in the top 4 would still need 5 more wins to achieve that. So if Wigan / Wire Catalans etc were to lose 5/9 of their final games - which is perfectly feasible - They'd end up on 60%. Hull could, theoretically at least, still finish top!!! Is there some magic formula or determination because of who plays who, or anyone who can explain this? As far as i see it, its now much more unlikely but Hull can still (without too much of a miracle), reach 4th!! They think it’s all over Your not stupid, a tad optimistic, and hope springs eternal.

afootingmiracle21-12 wrote: According to the BBC, Salford's win ends Hull's play off hopes? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-league/54235472 Am i being stupid and missing something obvious, or can someone explain this? Hulls win ratio is 5/12 = 41.6% Those in the play offs 8/11 = 72% BUT...if Hull won their remaining games they would move to 65% - those in the top 4 would still need 5 more wins to achieve that. So if Wigan / Wire Catalans etc were to lose 5/9 of their final games - which is perfectly feasible - They'd end up on 60%. Hull could, theoretically at least, still finish top!!! Is there some magic formula or determination because of who plays who, or anyone who can explain this? As far as i see it, its now much more unlikely but Hull can still (without too much of a miracle), reach 4th!! They think it’s all over Your not stupid, a tad optimistic, and hope springs eternal.

Re: Salford end Hull play-off hopes? Is this right? : Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:06 am  

afootingmiracle21-12 wrote: According to the BBC, Salford's win ends Hull's play off hopes? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-league/54235472 Am i being stupid and missing something obvious, or can someone explain this? Hulls win ratio is 5/12 = 41.6% Those in the play offs 8/11 = 72% BUT...if Hull won their remaining games they would move to 65% - those in the top 4 would still need 5 more wins to achieve that. So if Wigan / Wire Catalans etc were to lose 5/9 of their final games - which is perfectly feasible - They'd end up on 60%. Hull could, theoretically at least, still finish top!!! Is there some magic formula or determination because of who plays who, or anyone who can explain this? As far as i see it, its now much more unlikely but Hull can still (without too much of a miracle), reach 4th!! Strangely, the same BBC that report on Castleford having “A huge dent” in their play off hopes, after being beaten by Huddersfield. Unless I’m missing something, Cas have the exact same win/loss ratio as FC.

afootingmiracle21-12 wrote: According to the BBC, Salford's win ends Hull's play off hopes? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/rugby-league/54235472 Am i being stupid and missing something obvious, or can someone explain this? Hulls win ratio is 5/12 = 41.6% Those in the play offs 8/11 = 72% BUT...if Hull won their remaining games they would move to 65% - those in the top 4 would still need 5 more wins to achieve that. So if Wigan / Wire Catalans etc were to lose 5/9 of their final games - which is perfectly feasible - They'd end up on 60%. Hull could, theoretically at least, still finish top!!! Is there some magic formula or determination because of who plays who, or anyone who can explain this? As far as i see it, its now much more unlikely but Hull can still (without too much of a miracle), reach 4th!! Strangely, the same BBC that report on Castleford having “A huge dent” in their play off hopes, after being beaten by Huddersfield. Unless I’m missing something, Cas have the exact same win/loss ratio as FC.