: Tue Sep 22, 2009 9:15 pm  

Work this out


Merthyr played Chippenham away last Saturday and won 5-1 (they were 4 up after half an hour).

This Saturday they meet in the FA Cup (again at Chippenham) and Skybet have Merthyr at 4-1.

Crazy odds in my book.

: Tue Sep 22, 2009 9:54 pm  

espanyolswan wrote:

7 draws in the Conference tonight.

Yeah and I had 4 of them. One of my worst days betting in a long time.

: Tue Sep 22, 2009 10:38 pm  

Catalancs wrote:

Yeah and I had 4 of them. One of my worst days betting in a long time.

There is definitely a trend of draws in the Conference in midweek but its how to nail it that's the problem.

: Wed Sep 23, 2009 11:49 am  

espanyolswan wrote:

There is definitely a trend of draws in the Conference in midweek but its how to nail it that's the problem.

Canadian, Heinz or Super Heinz on each fixture being a draw?

: Wed Sep 23, 2009 12:31 pm  

Have to nail Twice Over in the 3.45 at Goodwood.

: Wed Sep 23, 2009 12:44 pm  

kendall17 wrote:

Have to nail Twice Over in the 3.45 at Goodwood.

Its not unbeatable in my book, should win but only a 4 runner affair could get messy.

: Wed Sep 23, 2009 12:48 pm  

mwildcats wrote:

:shock:

Its not unbeatable in my book, should win but only a 4 runner affair could get messy.

Thats the gamble

: Wed Sep 23, 2009 2:55 pm  

Got a few quid on tonights football but I won't post them because they have a habit of not coming in when I do.

: Wed Sep 23, 2009 3:18 pm  

kendall17 wrote:

Have to nail Twice Over in the 3.45 at Goodwood.

Easy money really. 2/5 it came in at.

: Wed Sep 23, 2009 4:28 pm  

The Boy TC wrote:

Canadian, Heinz or Super Heinz on each fixture being a draw?

Think it could be best to focus on perhaps 4, 5 and 6 timers as doubles and trebles just push up the cost of the bet without reaping much benefit unless there are a shed load of draws (and then all the other bigger accas are coming in so again the doubles and trebles are not making a massive effect to the winnings but taking up stake money which spread up the higher returning combinations could be better used).

4 draws pay about 150/1 each line (off 126 bets)
5 draws pay about 525/1 each line (off 126 bets)
6 draws pay about 1835/1 each line (off 84 bets)

and the dream one

9 draws pays 78782/1

10p on all those bets gets you

Potential of about £31,800 for a £33.60 stake with the consolation if there are 4 draws you get back about half your stake....any more and your in clover.


Still not sure if that is the best way to play it but based on the way the league is going it seems a reasonable approach as I make it out of all the games so far (139) there have been 44 draws which is a massive percentage compared to every other division and 7 teams have drawn at least 5 times already.


Perming 0-0 and 1-1 correct scores could also be an option as it can be done to lower stakes as there have only been 3 2-2 draws (2 involving Tamworth) and no 3-3 or higher draw.