Billinge_Lump wrote:
Scolari was percieved to be a successful International manager though, Moyes does not have that.
Redknapp did not take over Spurs with the expectation of CL semi's as a minimum. I agree that Moyes could get the Spurs job, but they aren't in the CL next year and anything past the group stages would be a bonus for progression in the CL if they were in it at the time of his appointment. They can afford for him to learn the ropes tactically, Utd and Chelsea cannot.
Had he won the EL, or even got to a final, then it may be different. But he's not won anything, nor exceeded expectations in Europe. He's shown he's a good manager at that level of club, he's not shown he can spend big money and he's not pushed Everton beyond what was expected bar one season in 2005. That's not enough for a major club to take a chance on him.
If he goes to Villa, gets a bit of money and pushes them into the top 4 and has a good season in the CL the year after then that might do, so I can see why he'd be tempted.
Thing is, he has pushed Everton beyond expectation. Many sides regularly spend more money than Everton, particularly if you look towards net spend, yet he always has his side in the top 8. Not only has Moyes managed to maintain Everton at a high level with little backing, he's continued the progression of the club largely through his own signings. Players like Lescott and Andy Johnson have brought in good fees, whilst he's always got value from his signings (a few strikers and Fellaini aside, who has done well, but probably hasn't exceeded the £15m fee).
Problem with European experience is it's very hard to gain whilst managing in England. Many people were/are tipping Villas-Boas for any of the top jobs, yet he's only had one full season managing Porto. Admittedly, it was massively successful, but experience isn't the be all and end all, a good manager is a good manager, and, without serious investment, it's pointless expecting great things.
Just look around Europe and look at some of the managers at big clubs: Inter have Leonardo (little experience), Bayern have Jonker (little experience as a manager), Barca appointed Guardiola when he hadn't even managed a top flight side before, Milan have Allegri, Valencia appointed Emery with little experience. Yet you see a club like Liverpool appoint an experienced, Europa League finalist in Roy Hodgson, and look where that went.
As I said, a top manager is a top manager, Moyes is a top manager IMO. His ability to build sides with little investment is an outstanding trait, something very few from Britain could achieve to his level.