Re: Betting in 2023 : Sat Oct 15, 2022 12:47 pm  

Moe syslak wrote:

Skybet have Lebanon at -4 against Wales tomorrow. I've no idea if Lebanon are playing their first choice, but the Wales squad is one of the weakest I've ever seen.

Lebanon play NZ?

Re: Betting in 2023 : Sun Oct 16, 2022 12:33 am  

MorePlaymakersNeeded wrote:

Lebanon play NZ?

The warm up game last week mate. Lebanon won 38-22

Re: Betting in 2023 : Sun Oct 16, 2022 12:34 am  

Moe syslak wrote:

Lump on England to win at 6/5. The Samoan team might look impressive on paper but their backs won't seem as amazing without Nathan cleary playing alongside them.

Hope you all made a bit of cash!

[Wanderer]

Re: Betting in 2023 : Sun Oct 16, 2022 8:42 am  

Wires71 wrote:

2023 Super league Betting
GF Outright

Saints 2/1
Wigan 4/1
Leeds 8/1

£10 on saints
£5 on Wigan
£5 on Leeds

Saints win you get £20 + £10 stake back - £10 lost stakes = £20
Wigan Win you get £20 + £5 stake back - £15 lost stakes = £10
Leeds win you get £40 + £5 stake back - £15 lost stakes = £30

Or is my maths wrong?

In the above scenario, your total outlay is £20.

A Saints win will return you £30, so an overall profit of £10 (the equivalent of backing a 1/2 winner).

A Wigan win will return you £25, so an overall profit of £5 (the equivalent of backing a 1/4 winner).

A Leeds win will return you £45, so an overall profit of £25 (the equivalent of backing a 5/4 winner).

Re: Betting in 2023 : Sun Oct 16, 2022 11:26 am  

Moe syslak wrote:

The warm up game last week mate. Lebanon won 38-22

My bad, wasn't paying much attention to the warm up games. Wales don't have a good squad, and don't play any matches on home soil. They had a big game all teed up at Wrexham the last time that the WC was hosted over here, with the Aussies in the QF. Sadly, they bombed the group games and the USA played in front of a poor crowd. It would have been rocking had Wales played, and that's the most likely reason there's no games in the principality, this time around. Anyhow, it was pretty quiet in the bar and easy to get a chat with the likes of Andrew Johns and Brad Fittler before the game kicked off.

Re: Betting in 2023 : Sun Oct 16, 2022 5:23 pm  

Wanderer wrote:

In the above scenario, your total outlay is £20.

A Saints win will return you £30, so an overall profit of £10 (the equivalent of backing a 1/2 winner).

A Wigan win will return you £25, so an overall profit of £5 (the equivalent of backing a 1/4 winner).

A Leeds win will return you £45, so an overall profit of £25 (the equivalent of backing a 5/4 winner).

Thanks for that. So, in essence, a guaranteed ROI of 25% or more if Super League follows the trend of the last 17 years?

Re: Betting in 2023 : Sun Oct 16, 2022 6:09 pm  

England 8/1 with Skybet only 6/1 with Betfred

[Wanderer]

Re: Betting in 2023 : Sun Oct 16, 2022 6:53 pm  

Wires71 wrote:

Thanks for that. So, in essence, a guaranteed ROI of 25% or more if Super League follows the trend of the last 17 years?

Correct

Re: Betting in 2023 : Wed Nov 23, 2022 11:09 pm  

With today’s announcement of Drinkwater combined with all the other signings I was intrigued to see if our price changed for the Grand Final but we still at 8/1. But think I will have a little dabble, I mean come on we looking in good shape on paper at least.

Re: Betting in 2023 : Thu Nov 24, 2022 8:49 am  

karetaker wrote:

With today’s announcement of Drinkwater combined with all the other signings I was intrigued to see if our price changed for the Grand Final but we still at 8/1. But think I will have a little dabble, I mean come on we looking in good shape on paper at least.

My rationale for saving your money is

1. No team has gone from finishing second bottom in the league the preceding season to becoming SL champions the next.
2. No team other than Saints/Wigan/Leeds has won SL in the last 17 years.