2016 Forecasts : Tue Dec 29, 2015 6:26 pm  

I notice that Clown Charlie has forecast a seventh place finish for us on the Mighy Leigh page. Really just shows that his knowledge of the game is limited and he only goes to games for some food and to accompany his good friend andrew gregory !!

Re: 2016 Forecasts : Tue Dec 29, 2015 6:32 pm  

Copy and paste because Im lazy and do not want to been seen as two faced changing predictions from one site to the next:-

1. Leigh - Should walk the league and have by far the strongest squad in the league. Their pack was pretty average I thought last season but they have recruited well in that area so much so it makes their backs look the weak part of their team. I thought a lot of Leighs backs would not have looked out of place in SL which on my last note says how strong I think they are.

2. Bradford - Strange one really, no real chance of finishing above Leigh and pick up injuries they could easily get in a dogfight for 2nd, that said been FT and having a good squad like they have should see them ease in to the middle 8's without putting much pressure on Leigh.

3. Fax - To be honest I think we will be comfortable in the top 4 this season and I see us as the only team that could challenge Bradford for 2nd. Our team finished the season as a top 3 team and I see no one improving enough to beat us to the top 4 especially as we have made some good signings to enhance what was a pretty small squad.

4. London - I see them been more settled this year under Henderson and think they could pip the rest to 4th especially if they can make their new home a fortress.

5. Batley - Probably a bit of a shocker but Batley look to have a real solid squad this year, their pack was good last season but their backs were for the most part gash but a couple of good half back signings and a couple of shrewd signings in the backs I think they can make a real push for 4th although their fans would probably be happy just not flirting with relegation.

6. Sheffield - Obviously weakened their team by off loading so many players and having to replace them simply with whoever is available. I think this will be a transitional year for Sheffield and they will be in the pack chasing 4th although I expect them to miss out this year.

7. Dewsbury - Again part of the pack chasing 4th and was a coin toss between them and Fev for 7th. I went with Dewsbury because they seem a little bit more settled although Im not sure their squad has improved enough to have much chance of 4th.

8. Fev - They have a decent couple of half backs but thats about it, their pack looks one of the weakest in the league and wont lay any sort of platform for their backs and that will cost them badly. Probably not helped by having a pretty poor coach and I feel they will be on the look out again for a new one come the middle of the season.

9-12 Ive really not kept much eye on the rest of the teams. Worky seem to have put their eggs in one basket and might have been better advised to spend that money on 3-4 players who could have improved their squad. They have not a hope in hell of making the top 4.

Haven, Swinton, and Oldham will obviously be in the relegation battle as their teams are simply incomparable to the teams I expect to finish 8th and above.

Re: 2016 Forecasts : Tue Dec 29, 2015 6:35 pm  

Tbh, he's only following the bookies. We're equal 6th (or 7th, depending how you look at it) with Dewsbury at 33-1. Bradford, London, Sheffield and Fev all shorter odds than Fax. It means that the punters out there aren't backing Fax (the bookies just run a book, they don't care who wins!), but I can't see us not being up there in the mix. Can't see anything other than Leigh in top spot, but at 40-1 (as I say, now 33-1) I couldn't resist a couple of £ on Fax.

Re: 2016 Forecasts : Tue Dec 29, 2015 7:11 pm  

HXSparky wrote:

Tbh, he's only following the bookies. We're equal 6th (or 7th, depending how you look at it) with Dewsbury at 33-1. Bradford, London, Sheffield and Fev all shorter odds than Fax. It means that the punters out there aren't backing Fax (the bookies just run a book, they don't care who wins!), but I can't see us not being up there in the mix. Can't see anything other than Leigh in top spot, but at 40-1 (as I say, now 33-1) I couldn't resist a couple of £ on Fax.

The bookies have to balance their books and with Leigh been such short favorites they have to offer "value" somewhere else with a team that punters can go "Oooh Halifax look a good bet at 40-1 when all the time they know there isnt a chance in hell of said team topping the table but it will make up some of the losses they make on Leigh.Please take no offense because I mean none but you are a bookies dream having a couple of quid on Fax.

Edit - Ive just checked on Betfair, no odds for the Championship but only £1400 matched on SL for next season. In comparison there is a Israeli Womens premier league game going on with 80K matched. Theres so little money backed on Championship rugby that its very unlikely that the market will move that much from the starting prices(which are set for reasons explained above) at least until a lot closer to the season.

Re: 2016 Forecasts : Tue Dec 29, 2015 9:48 pm  

BiginJapan1970 wrote:

I notice that Clown Charlie has forecast a seventh place finish for us on the Mighy Leigh page. Really just shows that his knowledge of the game is limited and he only goes to games for some food and to accompany his good friend andrew gregory !!

BIJ yes I have predicted 7 th spot for Fax next season , though nowt to do with the Bookies prices,I suggest you ask the Bookies to give you a price on Fax without Leigh being in the betting you might get 5 or 6 to 1, could be more.
As for my knowledge of our great game?I did win the Fax Fantasy League fairly easy and will be trying to repeat it next season,so I must know something, we all have our opinions though.Again Andy likes to watch Leigh , he says we remind him of the Wigan team he played for I know he looking forward to the Fax game at the Shay next season,as much as I am,not long to wait.

Re: 2016 Forecasts : Tue Dec 29, 2015 10:05 pm  

For what its worth I once won some money on the Lottery, it does not make me a maths genius.

Re: 2016 Forecasts : Tue Dec 29, 2015 10:48 pm  

Greg Florimos Boots wrote:

The bookies have to balance their books and with Leigh been such short favorites they have to offer "value" somewhere else with a team that punters can go "Oooh Halifax look a good bet at 40-1 when all the time they know there isnt a chance in hell of said team topping the table but it will make up some of the losses they make on Leigh.Please take no offense because I mean none but you are a bookies dream having a couple of quid on Fax.

Edit - Ive just checked on Betfair, no odds for the Championship but only £1400 matched on SL for next season. In comparison there is a Israeli Womens premier league game going on with 80K matched. Theres so little money backed on Championship rugby that its very unlikely that the market will move that much from the starting prices(which are set for reasons explained above) at least until a lot closer to the season.

Tbh, a couple of £ on Fax at 40-1 doesn't feel that bad to me? 40 attempts and just one success with RM at the helm? Doesn't sound unreasonable? Regardless, I've wagered the price of a pint, and however unlikely it is, we can all dream... (and the missus get's a meal out if we win!!!!).

Re: 2016 Forecasts : Tue Dec 29, 2015 10:53 pm  

...oh, and a couple of £ ain't going to make me any bookies dream!!!!!

Re: 2016 Forecasts : Wed Dec 30, 2015 8:21 am  

The last time you Muppets suggested fax for 6th/7th look what happened in the middle 8s. Who finished where

1) Leigh
2) Fax
3) Dulls
4th London
5th) Sheffield
6th) Batley
7th) Dewsbury
8th) Fev

Re: 2016 Forecasts : Wed Dec 30, 2015 12:18 pm  

Greg Florimos Boots wrote:

For what its worth I once won some money on the Lottery, it does not make me a maths genius.

Very True GFB ,Charlie thinks he's a Rugby expert because he won the Fax Comp,let's see how he fares this year,that's if he even enters.