DaveO wrote:
Ireland should be a sobering thought for any pro Scottish Independence people as Ireland have basically lost economic sovereignty due to the current crisis. The price for being bailed out is a bunch of unelected official telling them how to run their economy.
Add to the fact that joining the Euro (which Scotland would have to do) means agreeing to the budget controls of the Eurozone so no more deficit than 3% of GDP (I am sure from what I read the Scots run a higher one to fund their free uni education etc) they are ceding control from day one.
As to a Conservative government in England for the foreseeable future, no it would not mean that. Politics would quickly realign and as in 1997 a decade of incompetence will always ensure any government gets the boot.
It is not going to happen overnight anyway if it ever does so there is plenty of time for things to change politically in the rest of the UK.
Bad stuff will happen, but it can happen as part of the UK too. See 1976. It wouldn't be ceding control, so much as moving it - if London is seen as as foreign as Brussels.
It'd take away the psychological crutch of blaming the neighbours - a bit like the England's sometimes resentful attitude to the EU. In both cases, my opinion is 'together we're stronger' and that globalization requires a more internationalist outlook.
English politics would re-align to the right - my analysis was a bit facile, on reflection.
If, in theory at least, Scotland is an equal partner in the Union, do the consequences of it becoming a 'new' country, not also apply to the new UK?
If Belgium split, I'd expect both parts to be treated equally by the EU.
I hope, on balance, that it doesn't happen, but I get the impression from
some of this thread that there isn't a massive amount of respect for Scotland. A union of any type needs mutual respect.