cod'ead wrote:
People forget that this is a very strange election to fight, unlike previous elections, we knew the date of this one years ago.
It's not like getting a gut feeling of when the next election will be called and having party leaders stand on the rostrum and tell the faithful to "go back to your constituencies and prepare for government." (How did that go again Mr Steel?).
I believe this election will be won on the doorstep, Labour are mobilising troops already. They have seen the impact that had on UPRIK support and they know that's the only way to get to those who don't watch Newsnight or listen to Radio 4
Knowing the date makes it a damn sight easier. That's what makes Miliband's speech so much worse. Doorstepping has always been most effective in getting the core vote out.
No opposition has ever won a general election when it has had fewer councillors than the incumbent, and to have just a 5 point lead in conference week is nothing more than statistical margin of error.
Labour will lose hugely over the West Lothian question, it's pathetic efforts to explain it away will only fool it's absolute hard core. The Tories & UKIP will hammer them over it. Even the Lib Dems will stick the boot in.