Re: UK's prospects : Wed Jul 25, 2012 9:50 pm  

sally cinnamon wrote:

For most of your post the correct answer is "no shet Sherlock" but there are no signs that the interest rates on UK government bonds are going up.

In fact I will make two 'positive' predictions for the next couple of years, despite the gloom, inflation will be low and the interest rate on UK government borrowing will be low. Inflation will be low because of the absolute dearth of demand. Government bond yields will be low because long term expectations of UK interest rates are low as everyone knows we will be in the doldrums for ages and the Bank of England will keep rates at the floor, for the limited amount of good that it will do...

I agree that inflation will likely stay low but I think the government will start to have to pay more to borrow as the fundamentals are so weak.

Re: UK's prospects : Wed Jul 25, 2012 10:11 pm  

El Barbudo wrote:

Plan A wasn't even a plan.
At least, not a plan to get the country out of recession, the cuts are to satisfy tory ideology and we are supposed to swallow the reasoning that cuts will get us out of recession ... they won't.

Can this government last until 2015?

Oh I understand that that was why I was laughing.

Re: UK's prospects : Thu Jul 26, 2012 7:33 am  

sally cinnamon wrote:

For most of your post the correct answer is "no shet Sherlock" but there are no signs that the interest rates on UK government bonds are going up.

In fact I will make two 'positive' predictions for the next couple of years, despite the gloom, inflation will be low and the interest rate on UK government borrowing will be low. Inflation will be low because of the absolute dearth of demand. Government bond yields will be low because long term expectations of UK interest rates are low as everyone knows we will be in the doldrums for ages and the Bank of England will keep rates at the floor, for the limited amount of good that it will do...

I come of a 5 year fixed rate deal in a month and go to the base rate on my mortgage. It's the best pay rise I've had.
However every silver lining has a cloud, our sales are cruising at around 83% of quota because nobody has any f*****g money to spend - hence I've already lost 20 times any mortgage reduction in bonus payments.

Swings and er....roundabouts?

Re: UK's prospects : Thu Jul 26, 2012 7:41 am  

DHM wrote:

They've never had a strategy for getting us out of recession. All they've done is tell us how bad things are going to be and that they are going to be bad for a long time and none of it is their fault.

The only policies they have put in place have got us into a recession.

Employment had stabilised and there was some growth when they took office.

Re: UK's prospects : Thu Jul 26, 2012 5:09 pm  

Dally wrote:

I agree that inflation will likely stay low but I think the government will start to have to pay more to borrow as the fundamentals are so weak.

The government will have to pay more to borrow because the herd (sorry, market) will gang up on it when it sees no growth.